Piedmont Lithium: Updated Research & Fair Value Analysis

Oct 4, 2021

Executive Summary

Piedmont Lithium (NYSE/ASX PLL) is trading more than 20% below the $70 price at which it raised $123M at the end of March, during which time:

PLL’s flagship Carolina Lithium Project has increased its resource by 40%, planned lithium hydroxide production by 34% (to 30kta) and overall project NPV by 80% (to $1.9B);
PLL & JV partner Sayona acquired North American Lithium for a 75% discount to $400M sunk cost;
PLL secured a path to 50% control of Iron Ridge Resources’ portfolio of high-grade spodumene projects in Ghana;
Spodumene & lithium chemical prices have risen 2-4X+;
PLL’s peers have appreciated between 39% and 386%

The implied look-through valuation of PLL’s Carolina Lithium Project is just US$244m, an 87% discount to USD1.9B NPV and the lowest it’s been in the past 12 months. PLL is in constructive dialogue with state and local officials in North Carolina. A Gaston County ordinance update released on September 28 outlines a framework for lithium mining and chemical processing which, in my observation, is supportive of PLL’s ambitions to become a meaningful supplier for North America’s EV battery demand.

Upon securing outstanding permits, an EV/NPV ratio of 0.4x-0.8x for the planned 30,000kta Carolina Lithium Project should be possible, which would equate to a share price range of…

Click here for PLL Updated Research & Fair Value Analysis

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. READ DISCLAIMER.

https://piedmontlithium.com/